Rick Dean
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http://www.ksat.com/family/3447276/detail.html
Goodbye Texas, hello Texico. :mex:
Projection: Hispanic Majority In Texas On Track By 2020
Austin To Pass S.A. In Population
POSTED: 12:57 pm CDT June 22, 2004
HOUSTON -- Hispanics are still on pace to outnumber whites in Texas by 2020 and they may even do it sooner, according to new state population estimates.
The Texas State Data Center's biennial population projection, released
this week, is based on figures that show Hispanic growth continued in the financially troubled early 2000s while all other groups held steady.
Hispanic growth was more rapid from 2000 to 2002 b
ecause
fewer people were coming to Texas while the economy was down, but the Hispanic birth rate in the state was much higher than that of other groups, said Texas state demographer Steve Murdock.
"It accelerates the diversi
ty of the population, where we become less than half Anglo," he said.
The traditional projection has non-Hispanic whites becoming less than half the populace next year, Hispanics edging past non-Hispanic whites in 2020 and Hispanics becoming a majority by 2035. If trends continue as they did from 2000 to 2002, non-Hispanic whites could lose the majority by this year. Hispanics could become the largest group by 2015 and a majority by 2030.
The Texas State Data Center, at the University of Texas at San Antonio, is the state's official demographer. The center p
uts out a population projection for the state every two years, making estimations based on different growth scenarios.
All scenarios have the non-Hispanic white and black populations st
aying virt
ually flat while Hispanics mount huge gains along with "other," which comprises Asians, American Indians and any other group that doesn't fit into the three largest categories.
In fact, "other" will rival the black population by 2040 if grow
th were to continue as it has in the first part of this decade, Murdock said.
The trends are not expected to hold in the state's largest urban areas. Non-Hispanic whites will probably continue to outnumber Hispanics through 2040 in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, and Hispanics aren't on schedule to overtake whites in greater Houston until around 2035.
In terms of overall population, planners in the San Antonio region should anticipate the Austin area passing them in population as both approach 2 million around 2020, the data c
enter's projections show.
Copyright 2004 by The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
http://www.ksat.com/family/3447276/detail.html
Goodbye Texas, hello Texico. :mex:
Projection: Hispanic Majority In Texas On Track By 2020
Austin To Pass S.A. In Population
POSTED: 12:57 pm CDT June 22, 2004
HOUSTON -- Hispanics are still on pace to outnumber whites in Texas by 2020 and they may even do it sooner, according to new state population estimates.
The Texas State Data Center's biennial population projection, released
this week, is based on figures that show Hispanic growth continued in the financially troubled early 2000s while all other groups held steady.
Hispanic growth was more rapid from 2000 to 2002 b
ecause
fewer people were coming to Texas while the economy was down, but the Hispanic birth rate in the state was much higher than that of other groups, said Texas state demographer Steve Murdock.
"It accelerates the diversi
ty of the population, where we become less than half Anglo," he said.
The traditional projection has non-Hispanic whites becoming less than half the populace next year, Hispanics edging past non-Hispanic whites in 2020 and Hispanics becoming a majority by 2035. If trends continue as they did from 2000 to 2002, non-Hispanic whites could lose the majority by this year. Hispanics could become the largest group by 2015 and a majority by 2030.
The Texas State Data Center, at the University of Texas at San Antonio, is the state's official demographer. The center p
uts out a population projection for the state every two years, making estimations based on different growth scenarios.
All scenarios have the non-Hispanic white and black populations st
aying virt
ually flat while Hispanics mount huge gains along with "other," which comprises Asians, American Indians and any other group that doesn't fit into the three largest categories.
In fact, "other" will rival the black population by 2040 if grow
th were to continue as it has in the first part of this decade, Murdock said.
The trends are not expected to hold in the state's largest urban areas. Non-Hispanic whites will probably continue to outnumber Hispanics through 2040 in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, and Hispanics aren't on schedule to overtake whites in greater Houston until around 2035.
In terms of overall population, planners in the San Antonio region should anticipate the Austin area passing them in population as both approach 2 million around 2020, the data c
enter's projections show.
Copyright 2004 by The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
